The Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) published their Non-Residential Lighting Northwest Market Model report, this Summer. The report provides a characterization of the non-resi lighting market (commercial, industrial, & outdoor).
In addition to the charts and graphs below, here are some interesting findings:
- >150 million lamp/fixture sales
- 50% of the 2021 installed regional lighting stock is LEDs
- Total lighting power consumption has decreased 20% compared to the 2015 baseline, because of LED replacing less efficient legacy technology. The only application that showed growing lighting power consumption was indoor agriculture.
- LED penetration rose from less than 10% of stock in 2015 to 50% of stock in 2021 — representing approximately 46 million additional LED lamps and fixtures entering the install stock.
- The largest individual application in the model (by consumption, lamp count, etc.) is ambient linear. This application represents overhead and ambient lighting, which linear fluorescent fixtures have traditionally dominated.
- The most dramatic trend
over the analysis period has been the shift from 32-watt
T8 linear fluorescent lamps toward TLEDs. TLEDs have increased from 2% of the stock in this application in 2015 to 32% of the ambient linear stock in 2021, representing a growth of nearly 17 million lamps.
- In 2015, the outdoor sector significantly outpaced the commercial and industrial sectors in LED adoption. However, as LEDs have become more widely adopted, the penetration of LED by sector has evened out, with all sectors having an LED penetration of approximately 50% in 2021.
- The model indicates that LED luminaires are a bright opportunity for highly persistent savings.
The BPA 2022 Non-Residential Lighting Northwest Market Model report executive summary can be downloaded here.